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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Seven people were killed in the attack on Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza. On the 12th local time, it was learned from the Palestinian side that Israeli troops bombed Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza, killing seven people and injuring many others. According to medical staff in Rafah, seven dead people were attacked while protecting a rescue truck that arrived in the city. (CCTV News)New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.

Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.Korean media: Six members of South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. According to the East Asia Daily, six members of South Korea's ruling National Power Party supported the impeachment motion against President Yin Xiyue. The report did not quote the source. The opposition party needs at least eight people in the ruling party to vote in favor of the motion. Five members of the National Power Party publicly expressed their support, and one member who asked not to be named hinted to the newspaper that he supported the motion.GF Securities maintained the "Buy" rating of Giant Bio with a reasonable value of HK$ 55.72.

Goldman Sachs upgraded Societe Generale to neutral. Chris Hallam, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, had a previous rating of sell. The target price is 29.25 euros, which is 9% higher.Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides the stabilization of expectations. The Economic Daily article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.Sunac China's domestic debt restructuring has entered a critical stage. "Sunac China has a large number of domestic creditors and a complex structure. Within seven working days, two domestic debt restructurings were approved, reflecting the creditors' recognition of the plan. " People close to Sunac China said. "The biggest feature of Sunac China's restructuring plan is that creditors can choose a variety of restructuring methods, and creditors can choose the appropriate method according to their own capital characteristics." Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, said that the scheme can reduce the debt scale, greatly extend the debt repayment period, help to repair the company's balance sheet and create conditions for the improvement of the company's operating fundamentals. It is understood that Sunac China is one of the first real estate enterprises in the industry to propose an overall solution to domestic debt. Before that, the industry had experienced a series of debt-conversion explorations such as debt extension, debt restructuring, reverse mixed reform and bankruptcy restructuring, among which debt extension was the first choice for most real estate enterprises to convert debt. (Securities Daily)